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Blockaded schools, damage, a presidential election: what this period can do to your finances, and what to check this week

A high-school movement that began on 17 September, schools set on fire, a bill estimated at €20 to 30 million by the minister. What it can change for insurance, taxes and public finances, what stays uncertain before 2027, and the concrete checks to make at home.

·8 min read
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For a month, hundreds of French secondary schools (lycées) have been blockaded or closed, some set on fire, and the All Saints' school holiday began on 17 October. For a household, the images raise very down-to-earth questions: is my car covered if it burns outside the school? Who pays for the damage? Does any of it end up in my taxes or my insurance premium?

This article takes no side, neither the students' nor the government's. It sets out what happened, separates what has been measured from what is only possible, and ends with a list of checks to make within the week.

What happened

The movement started on 17 September in the Paris region and then spread across the country, according to France 24. Students are asking for more staff and funding, and denounce teacher absences that are never covered and the state of school buildings, according to AFP.

Figures given by the authorities in early October show the scale:

IndicatorFigureSource
Lycées where classes were suspended on Friday 2 October400 to 500, out of about 3,700Education minister, quoted by France 24
Public lycées closed in Île-de-France on Monday 5 Octobermore than 160, out of 468President of the region, quoted by France 24
Schools "set on fire or ransacked" the previous week24Education minister, quoted by AFP
Education staff injured78Education minister, quoted by AFP
People arrestedmore than 5,000France 24, 4 October

Figures as of 4 October 2026. They move fast and differ with the date and the counting method.

The Prime Minister asked for classes to resume wherever security and the state of the buildings allow, and set out a five-point roadmap, including priority cover for long teacher absences, with a first review set for 16 October.

The material cost has a first estimate: "between 20 and 30" million euros, staff housing included, according to the education minister on 4 October, quoted by AFP. That is a minister's estimate, not an insurers' tally.

Insurance: what 2023 showed

There is no insurers' figure yet for this movement. The only reliable reference point is the riots of summer 2023. Their cost to insurers was estimated at €793 million for 16,400 claims by France Assureurs, the insurers' federation, on 27 March 2024: four times the cost of the 2005 riots, according to the Senate report quoted by Public Sénat. Local-authority property made up about a quarter of the bill: €204 million, 26% of the total, according to France Assureurs quoted by Banque des Territoires.

The orders of magnitude are not comparable: the damage estimated in early October runs to a few tens of millions, while 2023 came close to a billion. But the mechanism is instructive.

Local authorities paid first. The report by Alain Chrétien and Jean-Yves Dagès on local-authority insurance, seen by AFP in May 2024, described "abrupt terminations" and "sometimes dizzying rises in premiums and deductibles". It added that the deterioration began before the riots and before the rise in climate claims, after underpriced contracts in the 2010s. A lycée belongs to its region: its insurance contract, and so its budget, takes the hit first.

For households, the effect is possible but indirect. The same report proposed pooling an "exceptional social risk" on the model of the natural-disaster scheme, funded by a levy on the roughly 45 million insurance contracts held in France. It was a proposal. If such a scheme ever existed, part of riot damage would end up in every premium, the way the natural-disaster surcharge does today.

As of today, no public figure links a rise in household premiums to the student movement. The rise in home insurance over recent years has other causes, set out in our article on climate and home insurance.

What your policy actually covers

This is where the period has a direct consequence you can check, policy in hand.

The car. Third-party cover alone pays nothing when an unknown person damages the car. A burned vehicle is covered only if the policy includes fire cover; a vehicle damaged without being burned, only if it includes own-damage cover, often called "dommages tous accidents". Both are usually optional, as La finance pour tous points out. Without them, the remaining route is the commission that compensates victims of criminal offences (CIVI), with a capped, means-tested payment.

The home. Comprehensive home policies (multirisque habitation) generally cover fire and, depending on the package, vandalism. The policy states whether "riots and civil commotion" (émeutes et mouvements populaires) are included or excluded, and which deductible applies.

The deadline to report. The French insurance code does not let a policy set less than five working days after the damage is discovered, two for a theft. In 2023 France Assureurs exceptionally extended that window to 30 days, but that was a one-off measure. For damage by an unknown person, the insurer will almost always ask for a police report.

Taxes and public finances: who pays for the damage

A damaged lycée is not repaired with insurers' money alone. Deductibles, whatever the policy leaves out and the extra cost of a rising premium stay with the region. Article L211-10 of the internal security code also makes the State civilly liable for damage caused by gatherings, which lets a local authority turn to it. Either way, it is public money.

At the scale of the national budget, €20 to 30 million does not move the trajectory. For comparison, the Cour des comptes (the national audit court) estimated in June that interest on public debt would reach €77 billion in 2026, up €12 billion in a year, according to Public Sénat. What weighs on public finances is what the movement asks for and what the government grants: posts, cover for absences, renovations. Those decisions land in the middle of the 2027 budget debate, whose measures we detailed in this article.

The uncertainty before 2027

France elects its president in spring 2027. Until then, several things stay open: the vote on the 2027 budget, the final answer to the students' demands, and the candidates' tax programmes. None of them can be predicted today, and this article makes no forecast.

What is known is that a period of political uncertainty shows up first as waiting: in the State's borrowing rates, which we follow in the article on the gap with Southern Europe, and in capital taxation, whose scenarios are costed in our article on the 2027 elections. A measure announced during a campaign is not a law: in between come an election, a vote and usually amendments.

Selling investments out of fear of an election turns an uncertainty into a certain loss. The fees, the tax on the realised gain and the risk of buying back higher are all known in advance. The mechanism is explained in our article on the biases that cost money.

What can be checked this week

None of these checks requires taking a view on the news. They hold for any turbulent period.

  1. The car policy. Is it third-party, third-party fire and theft, or comprehensive? Does it include fire and vandalism? What is the deductible? The answer fits on one page of the policy schedule.
  2. The home policy. Are riots and civil commotion covered or excluded? Which deductible? Are the contents insured at their real value?
  3. The emergency fund. How many months of spending does it cover, counting only money available immediately? A deductible of a few hundred euros or a car to replace is paid from it, not from an investment sold at the wrong moment. Benchmarks for sizing it are in our article on idle cash.
  4. Whether the plan holds. A crash, six months without income, an unexpected expense: IgniFI's stress test measures what each of these shocks takes from your cushion, your investments and your FIRE date, from your own net worth. And if you are already preparing withdrawals, the withdrawal plan shows how long the capital lasts with a pension that rises less than inflation or a difficult market year.
  5. The paperwork. A photo of the policies and of receipts for valuable items, stored outside the home, speeds up any claim.

Where IgniFI fits

IgniFI takes no position on the student movement or on the presidential election. What the app does is replace a general worry with a personal figure: how many months your cushion lasts, what a shock takes from your net worth, and whether your plan still holds afterwards. If the figure is reassuring, there is nothing to do. If it is not, this is the moment to know it, calmly.

Sources

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